July 01, 2011

Voters in Oklahoma's 2nd District Look to Be Pretty Conservative

Every quarter, OCPA commissions SoonerPoll to conduct a statewide survey on various policy questions. The latest survey was conducted May 2 through May 12, 2011, using live telephone interviewers. The sample is 509 likely Oklahoma voters, and the margin of error is ± 4.3 percent. The results have been reported elsewhere (mostly at SoonerPoll.com), but there's always a treasure trove of interesting information in the cross-tabs that I never have time to digest and report.

Well, a story in the Oklahoma Gazette says that with Dan Boren deciding not to seek reelection, the race is wide open to represent Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. Which reminds me that this SoonerPoll survey has results broken down by congressional district. Granted, the sample size for CD-2 is only 121 (of the 509 total), which of course is too small to be scientifically valid. But given that the results in CD-2 are very similar to the statewide results, I think this CD-2 snapshot is worth looking at:

Will the health care plan passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama be good for the country or bad for the country?
  • Good for the country … 22%
  • Bad for the country … 62%
  • Don't know / Refused … 16%

A proposal has been made to repeal the health care law and stop it from going into effect. Do you favor or oppose a proposal to repeal the health care law?
  • Strongly support … 54%
  • Somewhat support … 8%
  • Combined support … 62%
  • Neutral / No opinion … 10%
  • Somewhat oppose … 3%
  • Strongly oppose … 22%
  • Combined oppose … 25%
  • Don't know / Refused … 3%

The health care law requires states to establish a health insurance exchange—essentially an online marketplace for health benefits and insurance products. Under the new health care law, Oklahoma has been awarded a $54 million federal grant to establish a health insurance exchange. But Oklahoma leaders have announced they will not accept the federal grant. They say it comes with unacceptable strings attached. Which view comes closest to your own?
  • Oklahoma should accept the federal money … 22%
  • Oklahoma should reject the federal money … 61%
  • Don't know / Refused … 17%

A proposal has been made for Oklahoma to enter into an interstate compact, an agreement between two or more states that is consented to by Congress, regarding health care regulation. This health-care compact would restore the authority and responsibility for health care regulation to the member states and provide the funds to the states to fulfill that responsibility. Do you favor or oppose this proposal for a health-care compact?

  • Favor … 34%
  • Oppose … 27%
  • Neutral / No opinion … 29%
  • Don't know / Refused … 11%

Medicaid is a joint federal-state health program mostly for lower-income people. A proposal has been made to levy a $50 fee on some Medicaid enrollees that engage in unhealthy behavior—specifically, cigarette smokers. Would you support or oppose this proposal? 
  • Support … 55%
  • Oppose … 39%
  • Neutral/no opinion … 5%
  • Don't know / Refused … 1%

Oftentimes, under Oklahoma's current welfare system, a young woman can receive more financial benefits by remaining single than by marrying the father of her children. Other times, a woman who is already married can receive more financial benefits by separating from or divorcing her husband. Some people say it is unwise to discourage marriage in this way, and that this policy should be changed. But other people say marital status shouldn't matter, and that the policy doesn’t need to be changed. Which view comes closer to your own?
  • The policy should be changed … 71%
  • The policy doesn’t need to be changed … 21%
  • Don't know / Refused … 8%

According to the Tax Foundation, the average Oklahoman worked from January 1 until April 2, 2011, to earn enough money to pay this year's tax obligations at the federal, state and local levels. That's a total tax burden of roughly 25 percent. Do you think this tax burden is too low, too high, or just about right?
  • Too low … 3%
  • Too high … 50%
  • Just about right … 33%
  • Don't know / Refused … 13%

In your view, what is the maximum tax burden (federal, state, and local combined) a citizen should be required to shoulder?
  • 5 percent … 6%
  • 10 percent … 23%
  • 15 percent … 8%
  • 20 percent … 12%
  • 25 percent … 16%
  • 30 percent … 1%
  • 35 percent … 3%
  • 40 percent … 1%
  • 45 percent … 0%
  • 50 percent … 0%
  • Misc. other … 8%
  • Don't know / Refused … 23%


  1. Anonymous11:58 AM

    Hi Brandon!
    On the current Oklahoma Welfare System mentioned above, do you know the history behind the thinking of why they would encourage a woman to either remain unmarried or get a divorce simply for money? With all due respect, what were they thinking when they made that into law? I look forward to your reply! Have a happy July 4th Holiday. God Bless in Christ Jesus!

  2. Tom: Here's a broad-brush generalization. Socialism is hostile to the family (think Marx and Engels, Robert Owen, et al). Liberalism (retail socialism) oftentimes isn't much better, especially the toxic variety that prevails in the university departments where many social workers get their degrees. In large measure the modern welfare state was created by and is managed by politicians and bureaucrats whose worldview is faulty.


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